Bucks vs Suns NBA Finals (Game 6): prediction and betting tips
The Milwaukee Bucks are just one win away from their second NBA title.
Chris Paul of Phoenix Suns
Chris Paul of Phoenix Suns

Milwaukee seeks to end their 50 years title drought. The last time they won the title was in 1971 after sweeping the Baltimore Bullets 4-0 in the series. Now they are facing the Phoenix Suns, with a 3-2 score after the first 5 games of the NBA finals.

The 6th game of the Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns series will take place on Tuesday, 20 July 2021, starting at 9 p.m. ET. In the GMT time zone the start time is 1 a.m. on 21 July. Venue for this fixture is Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI.

Bucks vs Suns (Game 6) latest odds on betting sites

Current odds on the international betting sites make the Milwaukee Bucks an odds-on favourite to win the game and the title. Moneyline odds are 1.48 (-210 American; 10/21 Fractional) on the Bucks and 2.75 (+175; 7/4) on the Suns. This equals approximate probabilities of 65% against 35%, respectively.

Check the other odds in the big betting markets.

Over/Under odds:

  • Over 222.5 points: 2.00 (+100; evens)
  • Under 222.5 points: 1.91 (-110; 11/10)

Spread odds:

  • Bucks -4.5: 1.87 (-115; 20/23)
  • Suns +4.5: 1.95 (-105; 20/21)

The player picks odds:

  • Devin Booker — Over 30.5 points: 1.87 (-115; 20/23)
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo — Over 51.5 points+rebounds+assists: 1.83 (-120; 5/6)
  • Jrue Holiday — Over 1.5 steals: 1.87 (-115; 20/23)

Bucks vs Suns (Game 6) match preview and stats

The scoreline of the series so far:

  • Game 1: Suns 118, Bucks 105
  • Game 2: Suns 118, Bucks 108
  • Game 3: Bucks 120, Suns 100
  • Game 4: Bucks 109, Suns 103
  • Game 5: Bucks 123, Suns 119

The finals started roughly for Milwaukee. They were trailing 0-2 to the Phoenix Suns while Giannis was still dealing with his knee injury.

Despite this, the Greek freak dropped a playoff career-high of 42 points with 12 rebounds in game 2. In game 3, Giannis dropped 41 points with 13 rebounds, making him the first player since Lebron James to score back-to-back 40+ points in the NBA finals. The Bucks did a comeback winning 3 consecutive games and are one win away from the NBA title.

The Phoenix Suns are at the crossroads. A defeat in game 6 will end their championship dream. The Phoenix aim to win their first-ever NBA title. These are Chris Paul’s first finals after 16 seasons and 12 playoffs in the NBA. The 36 years old veteran hopes to win his first finals. After winning the first two matches of the series, they have now lost 3 games in a row

They face elimination after losing the last match. Devin Booker’s 40 points in game 5 were not enough to get them the win. Booker dropped back-to-back 40+ points in games 4 and 5, joining the elite group of players like Michael Jordan, Shaquille O’Neal, Lebron James etc. He is also the first player in NBA history to lose 2 consecutive games despite scoring 40+ points.

Bucks vs Suns (Game 6) key players and lineups

Phoenix Suns projected lineup:

  • Point guard: Chris Paul
  • Shooting guards: Devin Booker
  • Small forward: Mikal Bridges
  • Power forward: Jae Crowder
  • Center: Deandre Ayton

Key player to watch out for: Chris Paul

With Phoenix on the brink of elimination, Chris Paul has to give his best and nothing less in game 6. He has been the leader of the team and has been crucial to their victory over the Los Angeles Lakers, the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Clippers.

Paul has had 15 turnovers in three matches. So far per game, he has averaged 21 points, 2.8 rebounds and 8.8 assists. In the recent defeat, he scored 21 points (9-15 FG, 3-3 3 Pt), 11 assists, 2 rebounds and 1 block. Paul has to be clinical as a scorer and more efficient to make a difference against the Bucks.

Milwaukee Bucks projected lineup:

  • Point guard: Jrue Holiday
  • Shooting guard: Khris Middleton
  • Small forward: PJ Tucker
  • Power forward: Giannis Antetokounmpo
  • Center: Brook Lopez

Key player to watch out for: Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday has been key for Milwaukee since the start of the postseason. In the finals, per game he has averaged 6.1 assists and 1.6 steals, the most in the team. Holiday has had immense output both offensively and defensively.

The Suns should try to weigh him down or else he will keep hurting them. He scored 27 points, 13 assists and 3 steals in the last match. The steal he made from Devin Booker sealed the win for them. If Holiday drops this kind of performance or better one next match, Phoenix has a low chance of winning.

Bucks vs Suns (Game 6) betting tips and prediction

Heading into game 6, the Milwaukee Bucks are in good sensation. They are just 1 win away from the title. They have the home-court advantage. It’s going to be hard for the Suns to defeat them at Fiserv Forum. Since game 3, they have been in good form winning 3 times in a row. Winning the 4th will make them the NBA 2021 title winner.

The Suns haven’t been the same since the frustrating loss of game 3. Both Chris Paul and Devin Booker have had costly turnovers in games 4 and 5, respectively. When it comes to physicality and size, the Bucks have an edge over the Suns. This has been eminent in the last 3 matches they’ve played.

Suns have to find a way to overcome Bucks’ aggressive system to be able to force game 7.

Prediction

This is a decisive game and it matters a lot to both teams. The Suns won’t back out easily from this final. It’s either a win or nothing. This is a golden opportunity for the franchise as a whole to win the championship. Chris Paul will sit up in this game and become crucial to their win. Booker has scored back-to-back 40+ points, 42 points in game 4 and 40 points in game 5. This shows that Booker has a high chance of scoring 40+ points in game 6. So Phoenix will have edge in the offense. All the Suns need to do is prevent costly turnovers and play good defence against Bucks trio Giannis, Middleton and Holiday. The odds are on Phoenix to win and force game 7 with the Bucks.

Bet: Phoenix Suns to win with odds of 2.75 (+175 American; 7/4 Fractional)

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