Newcastle United vs Chelsea prediction and betting tips (November 12)
Newcastle are unbeaten in their last five games in all competitions as they smashed Southampton by four goals to one in their last league game. Will they get all three points against Chelsea?
Miguel Almiron has scored eight goals in the Premier League
Miguel Almiron has scored eight goals in the Premier League

Newcastle United will face Chelsea in Round 16 of the Premier League.

The match will start at 5:30 p.m. GMT on Saturday, 12 November 2022. The match venue is St James’ Park, Newcastle.

Latest odds on betting sites

Newcastle United have their winning odds placed at 2.30 (+130 American; 13/10 Fractional). Chelsea have their winning odds placed at 3.20 (+220; 11/5). The betting odds for a draw are placed at 3.50 (+250; 5/2).

The chances of the outcomes are as follows: Newcastle United — 41%, draw — 28%, Chelsea — 31%.

Latest betting odds on Newcastle United vs Chelsea (12 November 2022):

  • Over 2.5 goals — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)
  • Under 2.5 goals — 2.40 (-250; 7/5)
  • Asian handicap (-0.25) on Newcastle United — 2.46 (+146; 73/50)
  • Asian handicap (+0.25) on Chelsea— 1.54 (-185; 27/50)
  • Both teams to score (Yes) — 1.80 (-125; 4/5)
  • Both teams to score (No) — 1.96 (-104; 24/25)

Match preview and statistics

Newcastle United smashed Southampton by four goals to one in their last league game. Miguel Almiron opened the scoreline in the 35th minute with a nice strike into the bottom-left corner. Chris Wood doubled their lead in the 58th minute with a right-footed shot into the bottom-right corner. Joseph Willock made it 3-0 in the 62nd minute with a top finish outside of the box.

Roman Perraud pulled one back in the 89th minute with a nice finish into the top-right corner. Bruno Guimaraes made it 4-1 in the 91st minute with a nice strike into the bottom-right corner.

Newcastle had 45% ball possession as they completed 257 passes. The Magpies created zero three chances during the game. Newcastle had seven shots during the game with four being on target.

Newcastle are third in the Premier League table with 27 points. They have scored 28 goals while conceding 11 goals with a difference of +17.

Newcastle team news: Ryan Fraser is out of the game with a back injury. Callum Wilson is out with a fever. Matt Ritchie is out with a calf injury. Emil Krafth is a doubt with a hamstring injury.

Chelsea suffered a 0-1 defeat to Arsenal in their last Premier League game. Gabriel scored the only goal of the game in the 63rd minute with a nice finish from close range.

Chelsea had 56% ball possession while completing 371 passes. The Blues created zero big chances during the game. They had five shots during the game with one being on target. Chelsea had an expected goal of 0.29 compared to Arsenal’s own of 2.25

Chelsea team news: Ben Chilwell is out with a hamstring injury. Chukwuemeka is out with a hamstring injury. Kepa Arrizabalaga is out with a foot injury. N’golo Kante is out with a hamstring injury. Wesley Fofana is out with a knee injury. Reece James is out with a knee injury.

Newcastle United vs Chelsea H2H

Chelsea have won four of the last four games between both sides.

Three of the last four games have ended in under 2.5 goals.

Key players and lineups

Newcastle United projected starting lineup:

  • Nick Pope
  • Kieran Trippier
  • Fabian Schlar
  • Sven Bachman
  • Daniel Burn
  • Joseph Willock
  • Bruno Guimaraes
  • Joelinton
  • Miguel Almiron
  • Callum Wilson
  • Allan Saint-Maximin

Notable subs: Jacob Murphy

Miguel Almiron is the man on fire. He has scored eight goals in the Premier League, overperforming his expected goals of 4.51. Almiron has created 10 chances in the league.

Chelsea projected starting lineup:

  • Edouard Mendy
  • Thiago Silva
  • Trevoh Chalobah
  • Reece James
  • Kalidou Koulibaly
  • Cesar Azpilicueta
  • Jorginho
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
  • Mason Mount
  • Kai Havertz
  • Raheem Sterling

Notable subs: Kovacic

Raheem Sterling has scored three goals in the league this season, underperforming his expected goals of 3.03. The England international has provided one assist while creating 18 chances.

Prediction and betting tips

Newcastle is in good form as they sit third in the Premier League table. The Magpies have won seven games this season, drew six and have suffered just one defeat. Newcastle have won four of their last four league games. Chelsea have been poor in recent games as they are winless in their last four Premier League games. The Blues suffered back-to-back league defeats against Arsenal and Brighton. Newcastle are the stronger team and I can see them winning this game. I predict Newcastle to win.

Miguel Almiron has been an exceptional player for Newcastle this season. The Paraguay international has scored eight goals in the league, overperforming his expected goals of 4.51. Almiron has created 10 chances with 13 shots on target this season. He has scored a goal in four of their last four Premier League games. I predict Miguel Almiron to score.

Betting prediction: Newcastle to win

Odds: 2.30 (+130 American; 13/10 Fractional)

Betting prediction: Miguel Almiron to score anytime

Odds: 4.50 (+350 American; 35/10 Fractional)

Newcastle United — Chelsea
Lost
Miguel Almiron to score anytime
4.50
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