The Euro 2020 match in the 1/8 finals between two incredibly strong teams, Belgium and Portugal, will take place on 27 June 2021 at the Estadio La Cartuja in Sevilla.
International betting sites set up Belgium national football team as a favorite, with the odds of 2.55 (+155 American) to win in 90 minutes — 3.10 (+210 American) on the Portuguese to win in the full time, and 3.20 (+220 American) on the draw.
In the qualification market The Red Devils are priced with the odds of 1.75 (-133 American) to reach the quarter-finals, whereas Ronaldo & co should be content with 2.15 (+115 American) respectively. This equals an implied probability of 55%/45%.
Let's discuss this fixture and sure bets on this seemingly almost equal match
Belgium national team: recent results and statistics
The group stage for Belgium was calm and confident enough.
Belgium has confirmed its status as the group favorite by winning all its matches. The team showed an average ball control level of around 60 percent in all group stage matches. We enjoyed a large number of scoring chances and the quality of Belgium's team play, especially in the match against Russia. The playing style of The Red Devils seemed very organized, and it was impossible to find fault with Belgium's game. This fixture granted us 3 goals by Martinez’s team and 0 scored by Russians.
Denmark was the next rival of Belgium. This game was not as easy as the previous one. It was easy to see that the roster did not show the same game against a high-level opponent. Belgium still controlled the ball well, but there were problems with creating scoring opportunities. A significant contribution was made by Kevin De Bruyne who participated in both goals. The midfielder has strengthened the attacking component of Belgium's game, and we saw a beautiful comeback from this team.
And again, in the match against Finland, we saw the same dominant Belgium as against Russia. Total destruction of the Finnish team with the score of 2:0, with only 1 goal attempt by the opposite side compared to 7 shots on goal by Belgium.
In The Red Devils squad, the striker Romelu Lukaku is worth noting too. He scored 3 goals in the group stage and showed formidable form and sharp skills.
Portugal national team: recent results and statistics
Things were not so easy for Portugal. The team finished the group stage by winning only one match against Hungary and playing a draw against France. Apparently Portugal won the match, and Hungary was completely destroyed.
There were 7 shots on target and 65% on 35% control of the ball in favor of Fernando Santos' boys, which led to this result. But it is also worth noting that in the rest of their matches, Portugal looked insecure and hardly resisted their rivals.
The team play was masterful, but we did not see individual prowess, except for Cristiano Ronaldo. In matches against experienced high-level teams, the statistics immediately becomes worse: ball control decreases by 5-10 percent, and the number of shots on target falls by up to 1.5-2 times. This is unacceptable if Portugal wants to win the match against Belgium in its current form.
Belgium vs Portugal predictions for Euro 2020 match
According to the online bookmakers, Belgium is the favorite of the match. Belgium has been defeated in only 2 matches over the past four years. If the game comes to a penalty shootout, Thibaut Courtois will probably make the difference, because he failed to save his team only on 1 of 8 occasions during the group stage.
The best bet is Team to Qualify — Belgium with odds of 1.75 (-133 American).
Belgium vs Portugal: Handicap betting tips and odds
The ratio of wins to losses was taken as a basis for this bet. There were 24 wins and only 2 losses in the last four years for The Red Devils. Belgium plays masterfully. By betting with an Asian handicap of (0), you are ensuring that you lose only if Portugal wins the match in 90 minutes, which seems to be highly unlikely.
Asian Handicap. Belgium (0) with the odds of 1.84 (-135 American)
Belgium vs Portugal: Over/Under betting tips and odds
The next outcomes are predictable for the reason that Belgium has scored in all matches in the last 4 years, and in the same time frame Portugal has not scored in 3 matches only. Both showed attacking potential at Euro 2020, so their head-to-head fixture is expected to be rich with goals, and hopefully scored by both sides.
Total goals. Over 2.5 with odds of 2.20 (+120 American)
Both teams to score — Yes with odds of 1.90 (-111 American)