2023 Australian Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov prediction and betting tips (January 20)
Hubert Hurkacz has won three out of four H2H games against Denis Shapovalov with two to nil. Will he finish this one in his favor?
Denis Shapovalov has won five of the last six matches
Denis Shapovalov has won five of the last six matches

The Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov fixture in the 2023 Australian Open will take place on Friday, January 20, 2023, starting at 8:00 a.m. GMT. The venue is Margaret Court Arena, Melbourne.

Latest odds on betting sites

Huber Hurkacz is priced with the odds of 1.85 (-117 American; 17/20 Fractional) to win the next match, which equals an approximate probability of 55%. Denis Shapovalov has an odds of 1.95 (-105; 19/20) to qualify for the next stage. The chances of this outcome are approximately equal to 34%.

The latest odds for Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov (January 20, 2023):

  • Over 41.5 games — 1.90 (-111; 9/10)
  • Under 41.5 games — 1.90 (-111; 9/10)
  • Asian handicap (-1.5) sets on Shapovalov — 1.50 (-200; 1/2)
  • Asian handicap (-1.5) sets on Hurkacz — 2.60 (+160; 8/5)
  • Asian handicap (+0.5) games on Shapovalov — 1.85 (-117; 17/20)
  • Asian handicap (-0.5) games on Hurkacz — 2.00 (+100; 1/1)

Match preview and statistics

Hubert Hurkacz currently is the 11th-best tennis player in the world, which made him start the tournament against much weaker rivals. He did not have any problems against Pedro Martinez (7-6, 6-2, 6-2) in the first round. Hurkacz made only one double fault in three sets. He converted all four break-point opportunities and did not give Pedro Martinez a single one.

The second match was not as easy as the first one. Hurkacz met Lorenzo Sonego (3-6, 7-6, 2-6, 6-3, 6-3) and had to come back by winning the last two sets in a row. The tennis players were approximately equal, but Sonego got tired before the last two sets and was not able to show his best. He received only one break point opportunity in the last two sets, which made him lose.

Hubert Hurkacz has the 10th number of aces in the 2023 Australian Open and the sixth fastest serve. All these show that Hurkacz started the tournament incredibly, but will he show a good performance against Shepovalov?

A total of over 10.5 games in the first set has played out in five of the last seven matches with Huber Hurkacz participating. The same total comes with the odds of 2.35 (+135; 27/20) this time.

Denis Shapovalov defeated Dusan Lajovic (6-4, 4-6, 6-4, 6-1) and Taro Daniel (6-4, 7-6, 7-5) to qualify for Round 3. In Round 1, Dusan Jajovic showed a confident play in the second set, but he did not show anything special in the remaining three. Shapovalov made three double faults in this match.

In the match against Taro Daniel, the Canadian tennis player made nine more double faults. Overall, he has the fifth-greatest number of double faults in the 2023 Australian Open. Despite it, Daniel was unable to beat his rival. Shapovalov won 67% of service points and 45 of return points.

A total of under 4.5 sets has played out in all matches in the 2023 Australian Open with Denis Shapovalov participating. The exact total is priced with the odds of 1.50 (-200; 1/2).

Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov H2H

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Denis Shapovalov (6-3, 7-6) in the 1/16 finals of the 2021 ATP Miami. Hurkacz was not much stronger than Shapovalov in that match. He converted a single break point opportunity, whereas Denis Shapovalov received three, but was unlucky to convert a single one.

Prediction and betting tips

Hubert Hurkacz did not show his best in the 2022 Australian Open. He got eliminated in Round 2 by Adrian Mannarino in three sets. Denis Shpovalov reached the quarter-final winning over Alexander Zverev in Round 4, but he was unlucky to lose the fifth set in the match against Rafael Nadal.

The tennis players started the 2023 Australian Open equally, but Hubert Hurkacz’s rivals were a bit stronger. Denis Shapovalov has won five of the last six matches and was defeated only by Novak Djokovic in the last match before the Australian Open. Despite losing in the most recent H2H match, I believe that Denis Shapovalov will show his best in this match. That is the reason why the Asian handicap (-1.5) sets on Shapovalov is a safe outcome.

Betting prediction: Asian handicap (-1.5) sets on Shapovalov

Odds: 1.50 (-200 American; 1/2 Fractions)

Hubert Hurkacz — Denis Shapovalov
Asian handicap (+1.5) sets on Shapovalov
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